Monthly Market Reviews

Vantage Consulting Group regularly issues a Monthly Market Review. You may browse most recent Reviews below.

  • Market Review, July 2011
    Summary:

    The U.S. second quarter real GDP increased at an annual rate of 1.3%, significantly lower than the 1.8% expected annual growth rate. Consumer spending (red bar in the graph below) decelerated sharply during the quarter, advancing at an annual rate of 0.1%, the weakest growth rate reported since...

  • VCG Monthly Review Dec 2015
    Summary:

    The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.0% rate in the third quarter, slower than the prior estimate of 2.1%. The downward revision was the outcome of a larger trade deficit stemming from a strong U.S. Dollar, weak global demand and falling commodity prices. Volatile business inventories reduced more...

  • Market Review, May 2012
    Summary:

    The second estimate for U.S. first quarter GDP growth was trimmed to 1.9%, lower than the previous estimate of 2.2% and significantly lower than the fourth quarter’s 2.96% growth rate. The increase in real GDP reflected positive contributions from personal consumer expenditure (PCE), residential...

  • Market Review, April 2012
    Summary:

    Despite the mild winter, U.S. first quarter GDP came in at a 2.2% annualized growth rate, down from the 3.0% pace in the fourth quarter of last year and below the consensus of 2.5%. This has reignited debates about the sustainability of the recovery and the possibility of further Fed...

  • Market Review, March 2012
    Summary:

    U.S. fourth quarter real GDP was left unrevised at +3%, according to the third and final estimate of Bureau of Economic Analysis. This is the strongest growth in six quarters.

  • Market Review, February 2012
    Summary:

    The U.S. fourth quarter real GDP grew by 3%, slightly above the initial estimate of 2.8%. Nonresidential fixed investment and personal consumption expenditure were higher than initially estimated.

    The headline and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% in January. Year over year, the...

  • Market Review, January 2012
    Summary:

    U.S. real GDP grew at an annual rate of 2.8% in the final quarter of 2011, according to the advance estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This was the fastest pace in the last five quarters although it was slightly lower than the consensus estimate of 3%. The acceleration in GDP...

  • Market Review, December 2011
    Summary:

    Third quarter real Gross Domestic Product was revised downward again. According to the third estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, third quarter GDP is reported to have increased 1.8% annualized, less than the 2.0% second estimate released in November and the 2.5% preliminary...

  • Market Review, November 2011
    Summary:

    The third quarter real gross domestic product was revised to a 2.0% annualized, down from the initial estimate of 2.5% and below the consensus of 2.4%, according to the second estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The downward revision was primarily driven by a decline in...

  • Market Review, October 2011
    Summary:

    Led by personal consumption, the U.S. economy picked up pace during the third quarter, growing at 2.5%, above the consensus estimate of 2.4%, according to the advance estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. With this rise, real GDP is now just above the previous high set in 2007....

  • Market Review, August 2011
    Summary:

    S&P downgraded U.S. sovereign credit rating from AAA to AA+ for the first time in history and placed the nation on negative outlook citing a broken political process. Economic data continued to be disappointing. The U.S. economy expanded at a slower pace than previously estimated during the...

  • Market Review, September 2010
    Summary:

    September economic data was in line with our expectations (VCG – Outlook - Second Quarter 2010) and paints a picture of soft growth. The US economy grew at a pace of 1.7% for the second quarter of 2010. This third revised growth estimate, although better than the second revision, is a weak...

  • Market Review, June 2011
    Summary:

    The month of June was similar to the prior three months with markets swinging between risk-on and risk-off within a short span of time. Concerns over Greek sovereign debt and a slowing global economy dominated most of June leading to broad risk aversion. Risk appetite significantly increased...

  • Market Review, May 2011
    Summary:

    The key theme of the month was a flight to safety in light of concerns surrounding the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis and slowing global growth. Risky assets including global equities and commodities fared poorly in May while “safer assets” including domestic treasuries, fixed income and...

  • Market Review, April 2011
    Summary:

    The 2011 first quarter Real GDP in the U.S. increased at an annual rate of 1.8% after a 3.1% rise in the previous quarter according to the advance estimates from BEA. The weakened growth rate is primarily attributed to higher food and energy prices along with adverse weather during the first two...

  • Market Review, March 2011
    Summary:

    The 2010 fourth quarter Real GDP in the U.S. was revised upward to an annual rate of 3.1%, according to the third and final estimate released by BEA. The increase was primarily due to a greater than previously estimated rise in private inventories. The Real GDP growth rate for all of 2010 is 2.9...

  • Market Review, February 2011
    Summary:

    Real GDP in the U.S. increased at an annual rate of 2.8% in the fourth quarter of 2010, according to the second estimate released by BEA. This is lower than the advance estimate of 3.2% and the consensus of 3.3% as consumers and state and local governments spent less than previously estimated....

  • Market Review, January 2011
    Summary:

    The U.S. economy picked up steam towards the end of 2010 as U.S. consumers increased spending and U.S. companies increased their net exports. The real gross domestic product of the U.S. grew at an annual pace of 3.2% during the fourth quarter, according to the initial estimate. U.S. consumer...

  • Market Review, December 2010
    Summary:

    The U.S. real GDP was revised upward to an annual rate of +2.6% in the third quarter according to the third and final estimate. This is higher than the earlier estimate of +2.5% but below the +2.8% consensus estimate. The modest increase can be attributed to a slight reduction in consumer...

  • Market Review, November 2010
    Summary:

    The U.S. real GDP grew at an annual rate of 2.5% in the third quarter according to the revised (second) estimate. This is higher than the initial estimate of 2% and slightly above the consensus of 2.4%. This falls within our expectations of a soft recovery (VCG – Outlook – Third Quarter 2010)....

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