Monthly Market Reviews

Vantage Consulting Group regularly issues a Monthly Market Review. You may browse most recent Reviews below.

  • Market Review, May 2011
    Summary:

    The key theme of the month was a flight to safety in light of concerns surrounding the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis and slowing global growth. Risky assets including global equities and commodities fared poorly in May while “safer assets” including domestic treasuries, fixed income and...

  • Market Review, June 2011
    Summary:

    The month of June was similar to the prior three months with markets swinging between risk-on and risk-off within a short span of time. Concerns over Greek sovereign debt and a slowing global economy dominated most of June leading to broad risk aversion. Risk appetite significantly increased...

  • Market Review, July 2011
    Summary:

    The U.S. second quarter real GDP increased at an annual rate of 1.3%, significantly lower than the 1.8% expected annual growth rate. Consumer spending (red bar in the graph below) decelerated sharply during the quarter, advancing at an annual rate of 0.1%, the weakest growth rate reported since...

  • Market Review, August 2011
    Summary:

    S&P downgraded U.S. sovereign credit rating from AAA to AA+ for the first time in history and placed the nation on negative outlook citing a broken political process. Economic data continued to be disappointing. The U.S. economy expanded at a slower pace than previously estimated during the...

  • Market Review, October 2011
    Summary:

    Led by personal consumption, the U.S. economy picked up pace during the third quarter, growing at 2.5%, above the consensus estimate of 2.4%, according to the advance estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. With this rise, real GDP is now just above the previous high set in 2007....

  • Market Review, November 2011
    Summary:

    The third quarter real gross domestic product was revised to a 2.0% annualized, down from the initial estimate of 2.5% and below the consensus of 2.4%, according to the second estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The downward revision was primarily driven by a decline in...

  • Market Review, December 2011
    Summary:

    Third quarter real Gross Domestic Product was revised downward again. According to the third estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, third quarter GDP is reported to have increased 1.8% annualized, less than the 2.0% second estimate released in November and the 2.5% preliminary...

  • Market Review, January 2012
    Summary:

    U.S. real GDP grew at an annual rate of 2.8% in the final quarter of 2011, according to the advance estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This was the fastest pace in the last five quarters although it was slightly lower than the consensus estimate of 3%. The acceleration in GDP...

  • Market Review, September 2010
    Summary:

    September economic data was in line with our expectations (VCG – Outlook - Second Quarter 2010) and paints a picture of soft growth. The US economy grew at a pace of 1.7% for the second quarter of 2010. This third revised growth estimate, although better than the second revision, is a weak...

  • Market Review, March 2012
    Summary:

    U.S. fourth quarter real GDP was left unrevised at +3%, according to the third and final estimate of Bureau of Economic Analysis. This is the strongest growth in six quarters.

  • Market Review, April 2012
    Summary:

    Despite the mild winter, U.S. first quarter GDP came in at a 2.2% annualized growth rate, down from the 3.0% pace in the fourth quarter of last year and below the consensus of 2.5%. This has reignited debates about the sustainability of the recovery and the possibility of further Fed...

  • Market Review, May 2012
    Summary:

    The second estimate for U.S. first quarter GDP growth was trimmed to 1.9%, lower than the previous estimate of 2.2% and significantly lower than the fourth quarter’s 2.96% growth rate. The increase in real GDP reflected positive contributions from personal consumer expenditure (PCE), residential...

  • Market Review, June 2012
    Summary:

    The third estimate for U.S. first quarter real GDP remained unchanged from last month’s second estimate of 1.9%. This reflected a downward revision to imports and an upward revision to non-residential fixed investment offset by downward revisions to exports, personal consumption expenditures,...

  • Market Review, July 2012
    Summary:

    Weak economic data continued to dominate the news in July. The first estimate for second quarter GDP data showed further deceleration in the U.S. economy, registering 1.5% growth. This reflected further contraction in government spending and moderate narrowing in net exports. Consumption...

  • Market Review, August 2012
    Summary:

    The economic reports were mixed in August. The U.S. second quarter real GDP was revised to 1.7%, up from its previous estimate of 1.5%, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The 0.2% increase was  attributed to lower imports and contributions from consumption, exports and state/local...

  • Market Review, September 2012
    Summary:

    U.S. second quarter real GDP growth was revised down to an annual growth rate of 1.3% from the prior estimate of 1.7%, according to the third estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The consensus estimate was for GDP growth to remain at 1.7%. The slower growth reflected downward revisions...

  • Market Review, October 2012
    Summary:

    U.S. third quarter real GDP grew at an annual growth rate of 2% according to the advance estimates, topping the lackluster 1.3% growth in second quarter and slightly better than the expected 1.8%. Consumer spending (red bar in the chart below) accounted for most of the growth in GDP, while...

  • Market Review, November 2012
    Summary:

    U.S. third quarter real GDP grew at an annual growth rate of 2.7% according to the revised estimate, with accelerating inventory buildup and growth in exports offsetting anemic consumer spending and a drop in capital investment from the private sector. Government investment was revised up to 3.7...

  • Market Review, December 2012
    Summary:

    U.S. third quarter real GDP grew at an annual rate of 3.1% according to the BEA’s third and final revision. The revision was a surprise, up from earlier estimates of 2.7% and 2%. The main drivers of third quarter growth were accelerating inventory buildup and government spending, which are...

  • Market Review, January 2013
    Summary:

    The U.S. economy contracted for the first time since the second quarter of 2009, surprising most market commentators who had forecasted a modest increase. ...

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