Quarterly Outlooks Page

Vantage Consulting Group often issues an Economic Outlook and Quarterly Review. You may browse most recent Outlooks below.

  • Outlook and Market Review - First Quarter 2017
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    Summary:

    The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced a revised first quarter GDP annual growth rate of 1.2% compared to the initial report of 0.7%. The U.S. economy expanded only 1.6% in 2016, which was below the low 2.1% average annual pace since the Great Recession. Consumer spending, which normally is...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Fourth Quarter 2016
    Summary:

    The economy continues to expand at a very slow pace. The revised fourth quarter real GDP growth was 1.9%, the same as the initial estimate. For all of 2016 the real GDP growth rate was 1.7%. Job creation remains strong but an increase in the labor force participation rate to 62.9% was largely...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Third Quarter 2016
    Summary:

    The U.S. economy continues to be characterized by low growth, low inflation, low interest rates and low unemployment, but the landscape is likely to change in 2017. The economy grew 3.2% in the third quarter of 2016 per the first revision from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Third quarter...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Second Quarter 2016
    Summary:

    The economy grew 1.2% in the second quarter according to the advanced Bureau of Economic Analysis report. On a year-over-year basis the economy grew 1.2%. The recovery since 2009 remains historically slow with no year of GDP growth above 3%. Growth in the last three quarters has been...

  • Outlook and Market Review - First Quarter 2016
    Summary:

    The U.S. economy grew at a 0.8% annual rate in the first quarter according to the second estimate of the Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2015 was revised upward to 1.4%. Much stronger growth will be needed for the remainder of the year to come close to...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Fourth Quarter 2015
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    Summary:

    The economy grew 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2015 based on the preliminary announcement by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Economic growth for the year matched the 2014 rate of 2.4%. The unemployment rate fell to 4.9%, which now matches the Fed’s estimate of the long range full employment...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Third Quarter 2015
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    Summary:

    The Bureau of Economic Analysis revised third quarter U.S. GDP growth to 2.1% from the flash report of only 1.5%. Most of the revised gain was due to inventory adjustments, which may constrain fourth quarter growth. On a year-over-year basis the economy continues to track along a 2.2% to 2.4%...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Second Quarter 2015
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    Summary:

    The U. S. economy grew at a modest 2.3% rate in the second quarter according to the preliminary report of the Bureau of Economic Analysis. First quarter growth was revised upward to 0.6% from the initial report of -0.2%. Consumer spending continues to lead growth even though personal disposable...

  • Outlook and Market Review - First Quarter 2015
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    Summary:

    The U.S. economy barely moved in the First Quarter of 2015 as businesses slashed investment, exports tumbled and consumers showed signs of caution. The advanced estimate of GDP growth for the first quarter by the Bureau of Economic Analysis was a scant 0.2%, which is likely to be revised...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Fourth Quarter 2014
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    Summary:

    Real GDP grew only 2.2% in the fourth quarter of 2014 according to the revised estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The original estimate of 2.6% was revised downward. The revised third quarter GDP growth rate was a robust 5%. On an annual basis real GDP continues to grow at a...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Third Quarter 2014
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    Summary:

    Third quarter GDP growth was revised upward to 3.9% by the Bureau of Economic Analysis following a very strong 4.6% growth rate in the second quarter. Strong preliminary sales data, lower gas prices, and an uptick in personal income in the early stages of the fourth quarter suggest good (but not...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Second Quarter 2014
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    Summary:

    GDP growth rebounded in the second quarter of 2014 from a contraction of 2.1% in the first quarter. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis advanced report, the economy grew 4% in the second quarter. When revised, the growth rate is likely to be closer to 3.5% due to inflated inventory. For...

  • Outlook and Market Review - First Quarter 2014
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    Summary:

    GDP growth was a dismal 0.1% in the first quarter according to the preliminary announcement by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Growth in the fourth quarter was revised up to 2.6%. First quarter growth was below expectations, partly due to severe weather, but a number of fundamental weaknesses...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Fourth Quarter 2013
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    Summary:

    Economic growth remains sluggish and inflation is not on the radar screen. The Bureau of Economic Analysis revised fourth quarter GDP growth to a 2.4% rate following a revised third quarter 2013 rate of 4.1%. Inventory accumulation boosted third quarter growth but then bled some growth away from...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Third Quarter 2013
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    Summary:

    Real GDP grew 3.6% in the third quarter of 2013 according to the second estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Second quarter growth was 2.5%. Both quarters had higher growth than expected but the economy continues to expand at a rate well below potential. The primary drags on third...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Second Quarter 2013
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    Summary:

    Real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2013 was revised upward to 2.5% from the preliminary announcement of 1.7%. GDP growth in the first quarter was a lackluster 1.1%. The unemployment rate (U-3) fell to 7.3% in August but the key driving force behind the decline was a drop in the labor...

  • Outlook and Market Review - First Quarter 2013
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    Summary:

    According to the preliminary announcement by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the economy grew at a 2.5% annual rate in the first quarter of 2013. Sequestration began in March with only a small impact on first quarter growth, but the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the forthcoming $...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Fourth Quarter 2012
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    Summary:

    The U.S. economy is still far behind a typical recovery. In the revised estimate, the economy grew by a miniscule 0.1% in the fourth quarter of 2012. Consumers contributed 1.5% growth to GDP, but were drowned out by reduced government spending and a continued slide of the international trade...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Third Quarter 2012
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    Summary:

    Third quarter 2012 real GDP growth was revised upward by the Bureau of Economic Analysis to 2.7% from the preliminary announcement of 2%. Second quarter GDP growth was 1.3% after revision. Few segments of the economy performed well in the third quarter and much of the 2.7% gain was due to...

  • Outlook and Market Review - Second Quarter 2012
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    Summary:

    Real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2012 was revised upward to 1.7% from 1.5% in the preliminary announcement by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The revised GDP growth rate in the first quarter was 2%. Overall, the economy is performing well below the long run average of 3.3% GDP growth...

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